#AI

A I'm confident that AI is not going to wipe out anywhere close to 25M jobs on net over the next decade. If technological shocks caused net, long-run displacement, employment in the US would be 0.

What if this version of "business as usual" reality comes true. Seems like a good frame to have in your mental toolbox when thinking about the future path of AI. in a post-AGI world, people will simply get used to the fact that computers can solve cognitive problems quickly, and…

This is the most intellectually honest opinion to have about AI. Philippe Lemoine I think that if progress in generative AI continues, which I'm pretty sure it will (it doesn't even have to continue at the current pace as long as decreasing marginal returns don't hit too hard),…

This is an interesting take by Daniel Rock I don't happen to believe AI is going to take away all of the jobs. But it is possibly a blindspot-generating issue that the people studying AI's impacts mostly love their…

Interesting take by Like Burgis. This is stuck in my mental craw for some reason I would also now add a surprising element to my 2024 essay: as the cost of cognition approaches zero, that which is repeatable will be replaceable—and will indeed be replaced—by AI (a favorite…

Interesting article in the _Economist_ on how AI can help customers being ripped off The extent to which AI truly eliminates rip-off markets depends on two things. First, consumers need to know how to use AI properly.

I'm still reading through this brilliant and thoughtful post by Tom Cunningham, but it's so thoughtfully written. There is no standard definition of machine intelligence. There have been many attempts to give a definition or a metric of machine intelligence but…

Interesting take on the institutional impact of AI by Will Rinehart A lot of people are likening the advent of AI to moveable type. The printing press brought about the conditions for the Reformation, therefore significant institutional change is coming with AI.

Thoughtful essay on the role of colleges in the age of AI The Question We Can No Longer Dodge If AI can already produce an A– college essay in 30 seconds — on demand, at scale — then what exactly is college for? Is it certification? Content delivery? A rite of passage?

If LLMs aren't making you feel like shit, you're not thinking hard enough During the Q and A after his talk, Cowen said that LLMs are already “kicking our butt” at many things, including poetry.

A few good rabbit holes The illusion of knowledge AI capex boom China and weaponized…

Here's how the great Terrence Tao uses AI. Lot's of takeaways here for us lesser mortals. I was able to use an extended conversation with an AI https://chatgpt.com/share/68ded9b1-37dc-800e-b04c-97095c70eb29 to help answer a MathOverflow question…

As always, another thoughtful article by Ethan Mollick on what AI can and cannot do Agents are here. They can do real work, and while that work is still limited, it is valuable and increasing.

Pew published a report on how Americans use and view AI, and it's quite interesting. Americans are much more concerned than excited about the increased use of AI in daily life, with a majority saying they want more control over how AI is used in their lives.