Hi, I’m Bhuvan.This is my commonplace book.

Olivier Blanchard what will trigger a debt crisis in France

I keep being asked. How long can France go on with budget deficits and increasing debt until we get a crisis? The answer: I cannot tell. Not because I am particularly dumb (this is a separate issue). But because there is a potentially large danger zone, where the crisis may or may not happen, depending on the whims of investors. Given our debt and our deficit, we have probably entered the danger zone. If investors continue to…

Neuroscience is in trouble

Damn

AGI for dummies is here

AGI for normies is already here. I completely agree with Derek Thompson on this—in fact, I’d go so far as to say that even back with Sonnet 3.5, it had already arrived for the rest of us. The first time I heard a similar take was from Tyler Cowen, who pointed out that AGI, for most normal people, is already in our…

The Chinese LLMs are good!

I’m addicted to vibe-coding, and the reason is simple: thanks to coding tools like Codex, Claude Code, and others, I sincerely think that I can build the next Amazon, Google, or Notion from my bedroom—and also sometimes from when I'm sitting on the potty, because I can still send remote commands from my phone. Coding…

What's comes after transformers?

A nice overview of companies that are trying to figure out what comes next after the transformer architecture, which has led to the current AI race

Keep yawping

Yawp is a simple voice-typing tool I vibe-coded for my own workflow. Over the last few months, I’ve found myself leaning heavily into voice input—to the point where typing on a traditional keyboard is starting to feel completely anachronistic. I’ve been dogfooding it constantly, and unlike most weekend side projects…

I got some links for you

So yeah, had we gotten hit with Dean, Ghemawat, Vinyals, and Le – followed by Hassabis (even yes, with him technically staying, but in a new, less day-to-day role), it would have actually seemed even more catastrophic. Like Google couldn't stop the bleeding. Better to rip the band-aid off, perhaps? Regardless, it's still an optics nightmare. I mean, these people were just on stage together a couple months ago talking about…