Predictions are hard

François Chollet on the money here:

Whenever I hear Very Serious Businessmen make confident pronouncements about the future of AI, I remember what the very same people were saying in 2021 about the Metaverse and NFTs.

When you lack a grounded, causal model of the world, your “predictions” are simply a remix of narratives you’ve heard from others.

Reminds me of something, actually

Good time to remember Bhuvan’s law:

“Any discourse about artificial intelligence is indistinguishable from talking out of your ass.”