I am a big fan of Simon Willison even though I am not a coder, and I read his blog religiously. It’s one of the easiest ways for non-coders to keep track of the pace of progress happening in AI. I’ve yet to listen to this interview, but this summary by Lenny Rachitsky was interesting.
Mid-career engineers are the most vulnerable—not juniors, not seniors. AI amplifies experienced engineers by letting them leverage decades of pattern recognition. It also dramatically helps new engineers onboard. Cloudflare and Shopify each hired a thousand interns because AI cut ramp-up time from a month to a week. But mid-career engineers who haven’t accumulated deep expertise and have already captured the beginner boost are in the most precarious position.
AI exhaustion is real and underestimated. Simon runs four coding agents in parallel and is mentally wiped out by 11 a.m. He’s getting more time back, but his brain is exhausted from the intensity of directing multiple autonomous workers. Some engineers are losing sleep to keep agents running. This may just be a novelty issue, but the underlying dynamic—that managing AI amplifies cognitive load even as it reduces labor—is a real tension. Good companies will manage expectations rather than expecting 5x output indefinitely.
Code is cheap now. This simple idea has profound implications. The thing that used to take most of the time—writing code—now takes the least. The bottleneck has shifted to everything else: deciding what to build, proving ideas work, getting user feedback. Since prototyping is nearly free, Simon often builds three versions of every feature when he’s getting started.
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